We are a Y-Combinator-backed startup building your AI-powered Recruiter Agent

Statistical Forecaster – AI Research Project

AI Research ScientistMachine Learning EngineerPart TimeRemoteSeniorTeam 11-50Since 2021H1B No SponsorCompany Site LinkedIn

Location

United States

Posted

137 days ago

Salary

$105 - $140 / hour

Seniority

Senior

English

Job Description

• Generate structured, probability-based forecasts across domains such as economics, finance, geopolitics, and global trends • Document reasoning, assumptions, data sources, and statistical logic behind each forecast • Use models, heuristics, and analytical frameworks to inform predictions • Collaborate with a global network of forecasters and AI research contributors • Provide feedback on forecast prompts, evaluation criteria, and question design

Job Requirements

Active forecaster on platforms such as **Metaculus, Polymarket, Kalshi, Numerai, Kaggle**, etc.
Competitive forecasting record, leaderboard ranking, or documented tournament performance
Strong understanding of statistical thinking, probabilistic modeling, and uncertainty analysis
Ability to clearly express reasoning and methodologies in writing
Self-motivated, analytical, and intellectually curious