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Superforecaster – AI Research Project

AI Research ScientistMachine Learning EngineerPart TimeRemoteSeniorTeam 11-50Since 2021H1B No SponsorCompany Site LinkedIn

Location

United States

Posted

135 days ago

Salary

$140 - $245 / hour

Seniority

Senior

EnglishSwift

Job Description

• Produce well-reasoned, probability-based forecasts on complex global questions • Clearly document thought process, assumptions, data sources, and methodologies • Engage in peer review and collaborative refinement of forecasts • Provide input on prompt design, scoring systems, and question resolution criteria • Assist in benchmarking and evaluating AI-generated forecasts against expert human performance

Job Requirements

Affiliation with a recognized forecasting program (e.g., Good Judgment Project, Swift Centre, Rand Forecasting Initiative, International Institute of Forecasters)
Proven forecasting accuracy and calibration over multiple years
Experience participating in competitive or public forecasting tournaments
Strong analytical, probabilistic reasoning, and written communication skills
Ability to work independently in a structured, asynchronous environment